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Red38
53812.2
34214.4
Blue35
65412.6
6907.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30180104050603835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
Unranked
14.40.2
13.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
654
Unranked
12.60.2
13.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
Unranked
12.20.2
14.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
690
Unranked
7.50.2
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End