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Red30
6114.5
2114.9
Blue10
53812.2
5889.9
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022010405060703010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
Unranked
14.90.9
13.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
538
Unranked
12.20.9
13.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
Unranked
14.50.9
14.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
588
Unranked
9.90.9
10.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End