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Red21
27812.9
10810.8
Blue30
94711.1
83211.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30180104050602130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
278
Unranked
12.90.8
14.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
832
Unranked
11.90.9
11.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
10.80.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
947
Unranked
11.10.8
10.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End