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Red0
24511.4
39712.2
Blue20
6713.4
40615.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22280406080020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
12.20.9
12.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
406
Unranked
15.51.0
12.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
Unranked
11.40.9
11.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
67
Unranked
13.41.0
14.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End