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Red38
56.7
47012.7
Blue37
18810.7
49411.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27250204060803837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
Unranked
12.70.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
494
Unranked
11.20.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5
Unranked
6.70.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
188
Unranked
10.70.0
12.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End