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Red0
57313.3
39710.8
Blue27
51916.2
10914.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2627050100150200027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
13.31.0
14.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
519
Unranked
16.21.0
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
Unranked
10.81.0
11.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
109
Unranked
14.31.4
12.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End