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Red43
7915.5
1011.9
Blue27
86811.6
46112.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242904060801001201404327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
Unranked
15.50.7
14.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
461
Unranked
12.90.7
14.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10
Unranked
11.91.0
10.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
868
Unranked
11.61.0
13.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End