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Red24
19516.1
56912.6
Blue20
3419.7
87111.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24241520302420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
16.14.2
16.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
871
Unranked
11.60.3
11.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
Unranked
12.60.2
12.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
341
Unranked
9.70.3
12.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End