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Red30
88410.2
23014.7
Blue23
35316.1
5709.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
14.72.3
14.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
353
Unranked
16.14.5
16.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
884
Unranked
10.22.4
10.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
570
Unranked
9.12.6
9.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End