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Red33
3527.9
49615.0
Blue20
46713.9
26313.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
496
Unranked
15.02.1
15.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
467
Unranked
13.94.2
15.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
352
Unranked
7.95.0
7.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
263
Unranked
13.11.8
13.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End