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Red10
5028.3
35816.2
Blue34
49615.0
2814.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270103040501034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
16.21.4
12.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
496
Unranked
15.01.4
13.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
502
Unranked
8.31.4
10.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
28
Unranked
14.31.4
12.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End