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Red20
60112.4
19516.1
Blue10
1258.8
88912.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262304060802010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
16.10.5
13.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
889
Unranked
12.90.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
601
Unranked
12.40.5
12.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
125
Unranked
8.80.5
10.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End