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Red40
56912.6
2814.3
Blue20
87111.6
1369.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2917010405060704020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
Unranked
14.30.9
12.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
871
Unranked
11.60.9
11.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
Unranked
12.60.9
13.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
136
Unranked
9.20.9
8.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End