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Red30
23014.7
88912.9
Blue10
5709.1
41710.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311501020405060703010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
14.70.8
14.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
417
Unranked
10.30.8
11.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
889
Unranked
12.90.8
12.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
570
Unranked
9.10.8
7.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End