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Red20
49615.0
5149.6
Blue13
26313.1
8709.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2427010203040502013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
496
Unranked
15.00.5
14.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
263
Unranked
13.10.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
Unranked
9.60.5
9.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
870
Unranked
9.90.5
12.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End