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Red48
1369.2
27114.3
Blue41
2814.3
15716.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
14.34.4
16.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
157
Unranked
16.44.9
16.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
136
Unranked
9.23.3
9.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
28
Unranked
14.32.6
14.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End