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Red21
41710.3
22411.0
Blue39
88912.9
5611.1
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
11.03.7
14.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
889
Unranked
12.90.4
12.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
417
Unranked
10.30.7
10.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
56
Unranked
11.13.4
9.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End