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Red44
85711.4
85811.8
Blue24
8510.8
5358.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172204060801004424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
Unranked
11.81.1
9.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
85
Unranked
10.81.1
8.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
Unranked
11.41.1
9.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
535
Unranked
8.61.2
12.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End