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Red41
47012.3
30813.0
Blue24
1018.7
22610.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010304050604124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
Unranked
13.00.9
10.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
226
Unranked
10.80.9
13.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
470
Unranked
12.30.9
12.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
101
Unranked
8.70.8
9.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End