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Red30
94115.2
8757.9
Blue39
87712.6
9068.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25240102030405060703039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
941
Unranked
15.20.6
14.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
877
Unranked
12.60.6
12.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
875
Unranked
7.90.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
906
Unranked
8.50.6
11.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End