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Red41
35610.5
31716.7
Blue36
44713.0
93512.2
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261015203035404136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
317
Unranked
16.70.2
14.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
447
Unranked
13.00.2
12.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
356
Unranked
10.50.2
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
935
Unranked
12.20.3
13.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End