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Red30
3112.2
34313.4
Blue20
8757.9
9097.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241204060801003020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
13.40.1
12.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
875
Unranked
7.90.1
7.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31
Unranked
12.20.1
9.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
909
Unranked
7.00.1
6.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End