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Red30
31216.4
6508.5
Blue31
31716.7
9699.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523010203040503031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
16.40.1
13.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
317
Unranked
16.70.1
15.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
650
Unranked
8.50.1
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
969
Unranked
9.20.1
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End