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Red40
6618.0
57311.4
Blue20
70210.5
75213.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322304060801004020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
18.00.5
17.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
752
Unranked
13.20.6
14.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
Unranked
11.40.5
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
702
Unranked
10.50.8
10.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End