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Red57
36816.7
17513.9
Blue47
16814.1
81011.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250204060801005747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
Unranked
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
168
Unranked
14.10.4
14.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
175
Unranked
13.90.3
11.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
810
Unranked
11.40.3
11.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End