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Red42
29113.3
53510.4
Blue20
71012.4
38411.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222804060801001201404220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
13.31.0
13.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
710
Unranked
12.41.1
15.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
535
Unranked
10.41.0
9.110.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
384
Unranked
11.61.3
12.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End