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Red29
54713.0
54815.7
Blue37
28016.7
1779.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261015203035402937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
Unranked
15.70.4
14.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
280
Unranked
16.70.4
16.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
547
Unranked
13.00.3
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
177
Unranked
9.20.4
9.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End