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Red25
6817.9
37811.1
Blue43
38411.6
6715.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332404060801001202543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
17.90.9
18.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
67
Unranked
15.50.9
15.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
378
Unranked
11.10.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
384
Unranked
11.61.1
10.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End