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Red50
17320.0
71012.4
Blue56
1779.2
27116.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33260204060801005056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
20.00.4
17.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
271
Unranked
16.90.4
17.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
710
Unranked
12.40.4
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
177
Unranked
9.20.5
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End