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Red30
16513.1
28016.7
Blue20
26911.5
96413.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312304060801003020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
16.70.2
16.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
964
Unranked
13.20.2
11.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
165
Unranked
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
269
Unranked
11.50.2
12.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End