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Red20
6618.0
749.7
Blue29
28116.7
75313.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2928010204050602029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
18.00.4
18.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
281
Unranked
16.70.4
16.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
74
Unranked
9.70.4
10.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
753
Unranked
13.20.4
12.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End