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Red10
36816.7
39816.2
Blue0
5826.4
40016.3
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35200406080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
Unranked
16.70.0
16.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
400
Unranked
16.30.0
15.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
398
Unranked
16.20.0
15.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
582
Unranked
6.40.0
7.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End