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Red20
34015.8
6399.2
65513.9
Blue35
81011.1
6946.8
59612.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492004060801002035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
15.80.5
16.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
596
Unranked
12.10.5
10.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
655
Unranked
13.90.5
15.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
810
Unranked
11.10.4
10.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
639
Unranked
9.20.5
10.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
694
Unranked
6.80.5
5.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End