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Red20
34015.8
6399.2
65513.9
Blue10
81011.1
6946.8
59612.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462304060801001202010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
15.80.0
16.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
596
Unranked
12.10.0
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
655
Unranked
13.90.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
810
Unranked
11.10.0
10.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
639
Unranked
9.20.0
9.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
694
Unranked
6.80.0
6.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End