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Red34
8878.2
75215.8
Blue23
54912.7
59612.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223004060801003423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
752
Unranked
15.80.9
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
549
Unranked
12.70.9
13.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
887
Unranked
8.20.9
10.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
596
Unranked
12.10.9
14.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End