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Red21
71412.6
39516.7
Blue20
7435.8
6399.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291904060801002120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
16.70.2
15.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
639
Unranked
9.20.3
10.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
714
Unranked
12.60.3
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
743
Unranked
5.80.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End