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Red45
23713.5
71314.1
Blue15
80614.2
33411.0
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
713
Unranked
14.10.1
14.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
806
Unranked
14.24.0
14.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
13.50.6
14.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
334
Unranked
11.00.8
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End