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Red20
199.1
65513.9
Blue39
33511.6
12112.0
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
655
Unranked
13.93.0
13.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
121
Unranked
12.04.0
17.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19
Unranked
9.11.8
9.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
335
Unranked
11.61.7
11.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End