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Red45
34015.8
33311.1
Blue20
71412.6
4115.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27260102040506070804520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
15.81.4
15.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
41
Unranked
15.41.4
14.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
333
Unranked
11.11.4
11.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
714
Unranked
12.61.4
11.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End