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Red39
34818.9
6946.8
Blue30
8962.8
50512.7
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28120204060803930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
18.90.0
18.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
505
Unranked
12.70.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
Unranked
6.80.0
6.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
896
Unranked
2.80.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End