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Red31
6399.2
65513.9
Blue39
33511.6
37113.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282204060803139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
655
Unranked
13.90.6
15.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
371
Unranked
13.00.6
13.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
639
Unranked
9.20.6
11.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
335
Unranked
11.60.6
10.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End