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Red38
67913.0
52210.4
Blue39
81011.1
34015.8
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193004060801003839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
679
Unranked
13.00.3
12.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
340
Unranked
15.80.3
17.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
Unranked
10.40.3
8.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
810
Unranked
11.10.2
10.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End