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Red35
20112.4
6815.8
Blue34
14413.3
6429.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
15.85.7
17.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
144
Unranked
13.31.0
13.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
12.40.1
12.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
642
Unranked
9.92.2
9.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End