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Red39
85918.1
87213.2
Blue26
24714.0
2769.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
859
Unranked
18.15.2
18.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
247
Unranked
14.03.5
14.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
872
Unranked
13.20.3
13.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
276
Unranked
9.22.9
8.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End