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Red30
2713.8
51912.6
Blue20
6957.4
13513.0
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
13.82.7
15.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
135
Unranked
13.03.0
14.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
519
Unranked
12.63.5
16.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
695
Unranked
7.40.7
10.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End