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Red41
14413.3
13513.0
Blue23
54112.5
4811.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26230501001504123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
Unranked
13.31.0
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
541
Unranked
12.51.0
12.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
135
Unranked
13.01.0
11.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
48
Unranked
11.41.0
10.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End