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Red36
24714.0
4619.5
Blue30
23410.5
97910.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222305101520253035403630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
Unranked
14.00.4
11.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
979
Unranked
10.90.4
10.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
Unranked
9.50.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
234
Unranked
10.50.4
11.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End