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Red21
24911.8
97013.4
Blue32
27412.6
65211.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
970
Unranked
13.41.9
13.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
274
Unranked
12.62.0
10.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
249
Unranked
11.80.3
11.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
652
Unranked
11.41.4
11.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End