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Red43
23410.5
53512.9
Blue39
82912.3
6713.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
535
Unranked
12.92.0
10.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
67
Unranked
13.43.6
15.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
10.51.9
10.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
829
Unranked
12.30.5
12.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End