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Red10
1209.2
22914.7
Blue28
54112.5
51912.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2921010405060701028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
14.71.4
16.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
519
Unranked
12.61.4
12.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
120
Unranked
9.21.4
10.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
541
Unranked
12.51.4
11.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End